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The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

ebook

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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

Publication Details

Publisher:
Penguin Books Ltd
Imprint:
Penguin
Publication Date:
2008

Format

  • OverDrive Read
  • Adobe EPUB eBook 6 MB

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author)

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafes acros...

More about Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Black Swan
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